Top 50 Horse Racing Tips
If you love horse racing handicapping you will soon find out there is a ton of information about horse racing tips and different systems available to improve your skills. Throughout years of reading and research the only true way to become very successful at handicapping boils down to 3 key principles.
There are so many factors that can affect any given race that some races you can look at a hundred different times and still be dumbfounded. The three key principles are that your knowledge comes from experience and different situations. You need to be able to recognize key opportunities and capitalize at the correct time. Some of us have not been handicapping for 30 + years so it would be nice to take the experience of these long time successful horse racing handicappers and tips they picked up over the years and compile in an easy to read file.
That is what you have here. Many hours and research has been put into this project. With knowledge, the ability to adapt to different situations, and discipline to do the work spending time on your selections you will dominate any track you come across.
The Long shot Angle- Its best used when you are at a track and there are a lot of inexperienced handicappers (people who know nothing about horse racing other than higher odds pay more money) It also works well if a lot of long shots have been coming in throughout the day. On the last race you will have a lot of gamblers, which is what they become when they lose discipline (gamblers) that have been losing throughout the day due to long shots coming in.They try to save face by picking a long shot and loading up on it to get some of the money back. This is not a smart thing to do but its what a majority fall into.
Your bet then is simply the morning line favorite.
There is usually a lot of thought and well spent handicapping done to pick the morning line favorite and they actually do win their share of races. When the gamblers bet the long shots you will see a morning line favorite come in at a good price and you can capitalize on this opportunity. Also be on the look out for many inexperienced bettors. I know at Fairmount Park in Illinois they have a party at the park which brings a ton of people who are there to have a great time and don’t know a thing about horse racing. They bet long shots that don’t have a prayer in winning~ leaving these favorites at 3 to 1 and sometimes 4 to 1 that run away with the race. Keep this one in mind and it will pay off.
Determine which horses are the true contenders. You have to be able to “whittle” down every field to a maximum of 3 or 4 contenders or it’s an immediate no-play situation. A short series of techniques will tell you quickly if you should continue the handicapping process
Bet the Bullet- This is for many inexperience or first time horses in a race. Look for the horse that is in the best shape. A lot of times (especially in maiden claiming races) they will have a couple horses that have some races under their belt and then a bunch of first time starters. Give the first time starters a chance to win since these other ones cannot. What the bet is look at the recent workouts for the first timers and make sure they are in good form find the one who has a bullet next to the last time out. This signifies the horse had a great work out. Never miss a bet on this horse and has paid off nicely in the past.
The art of the bounce~ What is the Bounce?
This is a term that is used frequently in horse racing and it can be a very profitable way to eliminate horses as you narrow down you selection. A bounce is basically when a horse has had a big race or two and its condition is effected so the next time out he bounces down in speed rating and overall performance. Thoroughbreds now a days are built for speed and they can only endure so much. An all out race can be devastating at times to a horse and take a few races before it gets to good form. If you know or feel a horse will bounce the betting public might be betting a horse hard and you can throw him out. Its said that a horse going up 3 times in speed rating has a 50% chance of declining.
Here are some good horse racing tips to look for when a horse is expected to drop a good amount in speed.
1.) The size of the jump from its previous race.. The larger the jump from the previous speed figure to the peak figure the more likely the horse will react.
2.) Running style~ Speed horses especially those who had to battle hard on the lead are more like to bounce.
3.) Sprinter or Router ~Sprinters are more like to bounce than routers.
4.) Type of race the cheaper the race the cheaper the horse the more likely it is to stand up to a peak performance the race after.
5.) Sex Fillies and mares are more likely to bounce than colts and geldings.
6.) Age the older the horses are more likely to suffer a setback after an unusually big effort.
7.) Physical Soundness Horses with big gaps in their form indicating physical problems are more likely to bounce.
8.) Recency of Race A horse is less like to bounce if he has had sufficient time to rest since a great effort.
9.) Number of races The more races he has run in the recent past the more like he is to bounce. Make a decision and stick to it, whether you are using a system or applying the priceless tips that you are given here. Stand behind your decision once its made. There is a reason you made the selection that you did and unless you see something information that you completely missed be confident in your abilities to handicap. You will lose some races but learning is a lifelong process. The worse feeling is switching at the last minute and finding out you were right the first time.
Paddock Inspections..What to Look for- If you are in position to actually see your horse. There are some things to look for on a horse that is in position to have a good race.
You are looking for the horse that is sharp and keyed up for the race. Horses that were inseparable on paper can sometimes be distinguished in the paddock and post parade. It is figured that 90% of all horses that win are by horses described to be sharp, ready, or dull. The Frightened or Angry make up the other 10%. Sweat and kidney lather can be characteristics of Sharp and Frightened horses so there are some things to look for to distinguish them. On the sharp horses they may sweat and dance a little but they are actually embodying of health and vigor. The coat has a shine or a dapple. The mane and tail gleam, neither fat or bony, its rear muscles haunch and perhaps ripple.
The animal is prancing around, with eagerness, often with neck arched, head tucked downward toward chest (excellent signs), the ears pricked forward and tail up to signal readiness. Picture a horse like this and note ones in the paddock that have these features. The horse almost appears to be showing off. It is difficult to find a horse that embodies all these and has the eagerness launching into the post parade but well worth the hunt if you find one~ they simple don’t lose. The complete opposite of this is one of fear and also sweats. It is very reluctant and resistant.
Its head is held high but in continuous motion, sometimes eyes rolling so you just see whites. Ears flicking rapidly in all directions. (Many times by studying the ears will tell you a lot you want them to be prick forward) The tail swishes side to side up and down. The handler controls with a stud chain. The horse has a restless nature stomping and everything is unorganized. They have a hard time getting in the gate and the horse will through fits.
They get out the gate and run hard but when the stretch comes out of energy. A horse can change if something makes it made or throws if off that is why its important to look at the ears they should be alert in a forward position. These are some things that can greatly benefit you if you are able to see them in the paddock.
Identify the Pace Match-up for each and every field.
One of the most important and yet least understood and utilized techniques in handicapping is identifying the running style for each horse in the field. Every horse in every race has one of 4 distinct running styles…..
1.) Early (E) speed type that wants and needs the lead.
2.) Early presser (EP) that can either go on top or sit
1 to 3 lengths off the pace.
3.) Presser (P) that doesn’t want the lead, but stays in
contact with the field, usually running 4 to 6 lengths
4.) Sustained (S) run closer that likes to run way off the
pace and make a late rally.
It is of critical importance to match-up those running styles in every race to see which horse or horses have the right running style to succeed today!
It’s difficult for an inexpensive claimer to maintain his good form for any long period of time. A bettor has to be able to attempt to evaluate how a particular horse is going to respond from a previous strenuous effort.
Is the horse coming off an easy win, where he was allowed to get an easy lead and wasn’t pressured at any point of the race? Or is he coming off a demanding race, a race in which he was pushed every step of the way during a serious speed duel and was life and death to hold off his foes at the wire?
Don’t be overly influenced by the tote board after you eliminate or throw a horse out forget it. The juicy odds on the tote board can have you seeing things that are simply not there. You have a reason you threw the horse out stand behind your convictions.
Don’t let overconfidence take the place of hard work and thoroughness. Be consistent and do your homework. Use these tips to spot opportunities and your base of knowledge don’t get a on a roll making some money and then stop doing the discipline that made you the money in the first place. This is a common mistake~ Be steady and consistent to in your horse handicapping.
If a 4 year old runs a bad race he can bounce back but if an 8 year old does he might be on a downward trend. Age does play a big factor. In condition a horses prime age for racing usually is from 3 to 5. Of course there are horses that can get in the double digits and can still win races depending on who they are facing.
You need an approach to handicapping that is consistent and proven to work.
The only way you are going to succeed at this game is to have an understanding of “what makes horses win races” and an exact handicapping process that produces results that you can duplicate each and every time you find a race that appears playable.
You can add to these requirements self-control, which is necessary when you need to pass a race when the match-up does not present enough value to justify the risk you take by placing a wager.
Here are a few tips for how to review Using Past Performances:
Select a race whose race conditions you have became familiar with. (Check Reading Race Conditions).
Examine the past performances of the first horse in the race, from its oldest race through its most recent race. This should include a narrative of the horse’s career, its preferences, ability, and limitations.
Check how the horse fits the race conditions by highlighting the distance, surface, class level and race restrictions of its most successful efforts in the past performances.
Review the horse’s lifetime record section of its past performances, checking for any significant statistics for the track, surface, distance or its overall record.
Workouts~ Must look at the workouts
When looking at the program outside of previous races the second best gauge is workouts. Past performances indicate a horse’s basic ability.
Recent workouts are an indication of a horse’s current form. When choosing between two horses with similar past ability, the horse in the best current form will often prevail.
Betting Angle: Lone Speed
Front runners win more than their share of races at good odds, especially if they can get a clear lead early in the race and make their rivals play catch up. When you look at the running lines in the racing program, try to find a horse that has an abundance of 1s and 2s in its running lines.
If you can find only one horse in the race with this type of running lines, there is a good chance that horse will be the lone speed.
Angle: First and Second Time Lasix
There is no question that many horses improve when given the legal medication Lasix for the first time. But horses also improve when getting Lasix for the second time – and at better odds. Bettors who believe only in the first-time Lasix angle often disregard horses that show improvement on first-time Lasix without winning. This results in better odds for those who are playing the lucrative second-time Lasix angle.
Angle: Layoff Specialists
Horses that show the ability to win off a layoff of four weeks or more will often continue to win off the shelf throughout their careers – especially when teamed with a trainer who has won with the horse off a layoff in the past.
Angle: Big Win
If a horse has come from just off the pace in their most recent race and then drawn away through the stretch to win by more than four lengths, they will often perform well in their next start, even when moving up in class at good odds.
Angle: Change in Running Style
When a horse who always runs from well back in the pack, as indicated by their running lines, suddenly flashes speed in a race, it can signal that the horse is ready to wake up and run a big race in one of their next few starts. Similarly, when a horse that always goes to the lead suddenly shows the ability to come from well off the pace – they too can be ready to wake up at a price.
Angle: The Heart Factor
Always read the comment lines at the end of the running lines looking for comments that indicate a horse gave their best. Comments that include words such as “good try”, “gamely”, “game try”, “good effort” or “gave best” indicate that the horses is a courageous sort – and these types win more than their share of races. Horses with numerous comments like the above in their racing lines are among the best bets in racing.
The comment lines at the end of the running lines may also include trouble-related words such as “checked”, “steadied”, “lacked room” and “stumbled start”. These words indicate that the horse may have been prevented from winning due to some kind of bad luck or lack of running room. These horses should always be given a second look in their next three starts.
Angle: Rider Switches
When a leading percentage trainer replaces a lower percentage jockey with a leading horse racing jockey, they are usually indicating that they are trying everything they can to win. Top riders often have their choice of the best horses and top trainers often have their choice of top riders. This makes for a powerful combination. Many trainers tend to win more often with certain jockeys – and those jockeys may not necessarily be among the leaders. Watch for hot jockey-trainer patterns.
Angle: First Time Blinkers On or Off
When a horse gets the shades on for the first time they can improve dramatically – particularly if they are two or 3-year-olds who are still learning the horse racing game. Blinkers can shield a horse from distractions and help them perform to the best of their ability. Blinkers off for the first time can help a nervous horse relax enough to give a top effort. Blinkers on or off can also stimulate a mental boost to a horse that has been showing little interest leading to a better effort.
Angle: Route Horses in Sprints off a Layoff
This angle produces some big long shots and is great to use in the spring when everyone seems to be betting speed. It is easier to get a natural distance horse fit to run a sprint of six furlongs than it is to get a sprinter ready to go the same distance. If you spot a horse who often runs a route of ground, making their first start off the layoff in a sprint, always give them a second look – especially when in the hands of a top trainer.
The Layoff Angle- There are some astute trainers in the horse racing industry who have some strategies of their own. If you can pick up a few of them and use them at the right time the payoff can be quite nice. This is called the Layoff angle and is used on horses that have not raced within the time period of 31 to 120 days. Its a great method and if you catch it right will pay nicely as the general audience throws these horses who have not raced in awhile out. Some trainers will maneuver the horse between classes to pick up some sure wins and you can capitalize by looking for it~
Follow these step by step instructions
> Last race prior to layoff, trainers will slightly lower a horse in class, then bring him back up in class at higher odds.
1.) Must be 31 to 120 day layoff
2.) Slightly dropped in class last race prior to layoff
3.) Moving up in class today slightly
4.) Current odds at 9 to 1 or higher
5.) Watch the last 5 minutes at least 2 sequential clicks lower. So if it were 9 to 1 in the last 5 minutes you see it drop to at least 7 to 1… this is a key indicator of insiders waiting as close to post time as possible and sends an alert off that the horse is pulling the layoff angle.
There are some common practices in horse racing and some maneuvering between classes the horse may not seem in good form but actually the trainer knows its going to pick up a win at a nice price. I usually keep this in the back of my head when I see a horse the fits this description and keep an eye on the last 5 minutes and put a good win wager on it. Have fun with this and Horse racing is all about adaptability and timing.
Major Players/ Professional Handicappers- can endure long periods of time between bets. They can handicap a whole race card and spot the golden opportunity and place one significant confident wager capitalizing on the race. These handicappers over the long hall are hard to beat and have a nice bank roll.
This area requires a lot of patience and it depends on what your strategy is. I like the sport and watching the races so I will bet more than I should sacrificing some profits for entertainment, but if you want to make a significant amount on horse racing or do it for a living this is a key quality of them.
Professional Handicappers will take less risk for reward, so they will not get a huge return with less risk but are right more often. With taking less risk they will adjust their wagers proportionately and bet more on races that they are confident in regardless of the odds.
Favorites are Favorites for a reason~ in a n analysis of 1400 races that 4 year old and up ran. Favorites won 47.8% of the time. The highest probability of winning favorites, easiest to predict is the handicap for four year old @ distance of a mile or longer. Their winning % is the absolute highest of all races.
Class Drop downs
Another thing to watch for are horses that are dropping in class. Horses that are significantly dropping in class from their last race, are usually a threat. Some examples of significant class drops are: Maiden Special Weight to cheap Maiden Claiming, Claiming to another Claiming with a significantly lower claiming price, Allowance to Claiming and Graded Stakes to Allowance or Claiming. Especially if you see it was at one time competitive at that the higher class and dropping down today.
Understand which running styles are best suited for which kinds of races.
Sprint races without a doubt favor early speed. Most winners of sprint races are within 2 to 3 lengths of the lead at one or both of the first two call points. Therefore, stone-cold closers desperately need enough early speed in the race to create the right pace for them to successfully make their late charge. And of course, if you have a match up in which there is a lone early speed horse, even if it has not held up lately that horse has a better than even chance to go all the way on top, often at a good price
Identifying Contenders in Maiden races (Sprints)
Here is a selection process taken from a great handicapper in picking the winners of Maidens:
1. Eliminate 4 year old and ups (these horses are in good condition and prime age.)
2. Eliminate any horse that is not the age of 3 (these horses win the most maiden claiming sprints)
3. Look for horse with workouts at 5 or 6 furlongs
4. Keep any horse that finished 3rd or worse last time out ~ exclude 1st or 2nd last time out.
5. Look at horse that dropped 2 clicks last 5 minutes.
6. Bet horse with best time last out (3rd, 4th, or 5th)~ if you still have more than one horse to choose from. This handicapper has used this strategy for years and has hits some nice tickets with this straight forward process
Keys for Identifying older Maiden races
Here are some tips for finding a good horse to wager on in Maiden races with older horses mostly 4 and older. It is a calculated fact that 2nd place finish last time out have a huge advantage in route races that the horse will put a good showing and win his next race. Older Maidens with no starts this year or first starters only win 3%. When looking at the program doing your handicapping process make notes of the horses that have finished 2nd last time out but its also important to note the ones that have finished 2nd more than once but failed to win next time. If he has put a few 2nd finishes and did not win the next race then its possible he will do the same again.
Horses going from Sprint to Route is always better than from route to sprint.
Ideal Claiming race contenders have these 3 qualities Early Speed, Improved or peaking form, and a drop in class (at least 30%) A horse that is dropping 30% or more in claiming price win 378% of their rightful share of these races!
This Money Management Program is Unbelievable and is worth any time or money spent if there were no other tips in this program. There has been a ton of research on different money management strategies and the findings show this to be very profitable in horse racing.
A.) The majority of one’s capital must be allocated to win betting.
B.) Handicappers should be more when they are winning and less when they are losing.
C.) Progressive methods and due-column methods, which require heavier bets after losses until next win bet are ruinous.
D.) The most useful way to evaluate a money management strategy is to submit it to a risk- benefit analysis. The most effective methods minimizing risk while they maximize gain.
The base bet recommended for this money management program starts is $2
This is simply based on BB(Base bet)+ SR(square root of profits)
Using this a handicappers every bet to win is equal to $2 plus the square root of any profits that have accumulated if no profits have accumulated, the bettor’s bet remains $2 which is the minimum risk at most tracks. As your profits do grow the bettor finds the amount to be added to $2 by referring to a simple square root table which is below. This method is a low risk to trying different handicapping methods and you can grow your bankroll quickly with the profits.
This is something EVERY handicapper should put into place if serious about making money. it’s a systematic method for money management and gives one discipline with finances and relieves one of having anxieties that usually result from an unsystematic money management. The $2 base bet of BB + SR assures handicappers that betting is minimal risk.
Here is a small four race sequence in which the first horse lost and the next 3 did win the race to represent this program in practice:
P/L is if this continued for 10 races at this current ratio of win/losses
Base Bet S.R. Total Bet Payoff P/L P/Lx10
#1 $2.00 X $2.00 Loss -$2.00 -$20.00
#2 $2.00 X $2.00 $15.20 $15.20 $112.00
#3 $2.00 $3.00 $5.00 $4.40 $17.20 $172.00
#4 $2.00 $6.00 $4.00 $5.00 $26.20 $262.00
It is best not to replay your winnings, at least not immediately. If you want to be in control, you must put back in your pocket some or most of your winnings.
The square root table is listed below please email me a email@example.com with any questions you have in regards to this money management program so I can help you fully understand how it works. I believe this is a key component to your success.
The Distance Factor you can start here and go through the next 4 bullet points and this should give you a comprehensive selection process put together. Starting with Distance these guidelines apply to horses aged three or older.
A horse qualifies at today’s distance if
(a) it has won a race of this exact distance or
(b) it has finished close ~within three lengths~ to the winner at today’s distance in a respectable time and the race occurred this season; or
© it finished fourth and within two lengths of the winner at the distance this season.
The term of a good respectable time is defined in terms of speed ratings here are the cutoffs:
90- Sprint of handicap and stakes qualify
88- High grade allowance sprints
85- Handicaps and stakes run around two bends
80- High grade allowance routes, lesser allowance sprints, and sprints for claiming horses valued above $7500
78- Cheap Claiming sprints
73- Route races for better claimers
69- Route races for claimers values at $4000 or less
Excepting the occasional sprinter that possible takes the early lead and pace, horses 4 and older competing at brand new distances are best eliminated.
Condition In analyzing claiming races follow closely these considerations
1.) In recent races at 7 furlongs or less, accept horses that have run within the last month, preferably at the same track they are today.
2.) In routes, horses should show a race within the last month plus 2 workouts. If they have raced within 2 weeks and show one workout, this is acceptable. If within one week no workouts are needed.
3.) At 7 furlongs or less, horses can be on form even if they have not raced in 45 days, provided they have been working out at regular intervals of four or day longer and have previously won after absences of that length or longer.
Condition In analyzing non claiming races (allowance, handicap, and stakes horses)you can be more relaxed with these bigger races
1.) Horses that have been out 60 to 90 days are rarely in good form unless they have worked out often with respectable clocking. some tips on this below
a workout is more satisfactory if the horse breezes (runs without urging) at a rate of approximate 12 seconds for each 1/8 mile. 1.00b for five is a definite sign of life, so is 1.13b for six
…a longer workout is always more significant than a shorter one
…If it has a bullet by the workout it means the horse had a very fast workout and should be noted~ be on the lookout for these trends on workouts if its been awhile since the horse has raced.
2.) In allowance races the horse that has raced well in the last week or two is better than one that has not been our for four weeks or more.
Condition what to throw out…Condition is a huge factor in horse racing although its very important to know what to look for its equally important on finding out what not to look for so you can eliminate the ones that are not in shape quickly. Here are some guidelines.
1.) Throw out any horse that bled, ran sore or finished lame in last race
2.) Throw out any horse that slowed into the stretch considerably or bore out notably in last race.
3.) Throw out any horse that is stepping up in class after a race it won while losing ground in the driving stretch.
4.) Except for the highly consistent horses that give their best every race~ throw out any 4 year old or older, that engaged in dueling finishes in its last 2 outings. (notable exceptions are lightly raced 3 year olds of really high quality or handicap and stake races from top barns)
5.) Throw out any horse aged 5 or older whose best effort at today’s distance occurred in its last race, unless the horse is a male and it demonstrated reserved speed.
6.) Throw out any claiming horse whose last race was a big win more than 2 weeks ago. Big wins mean horses that won easily with some reserved speed. For example gaining lengths after already being in first.
In regards to class, these guidelines also lead to elimination of horses.
(a) No horse aged four or older is acceptable in a handicap or stakes unless it usually runs in such good company and either won or was in the money when entered
(b) No three year old is a good prospect in a handicap or stakes race against older horses unless it has already beaten such a field or has great power against its own age showing a clear edge in class and condition .
© To be accepted as a contender in an allowance race a horse whose last start was in a claiming should have won an allowance race on this circuit or one of equal class, or should be facing other non-winners of such allowance races, and should not be asked to defeat another contender who has run in the money in a handicap or stakes within last 3 months.
(d) In claiming throw out any horse that is stepping up as much as 50% when comparing the top price today with the claiming price at which the horse was entered last time.
(e) In maiden races and races for non-winners of two races, three year olds are invariable better prospect than older chronic losers
(f) No horse has an advantage in class because it has raced against higher class horses that it will meet today unless the horse beat at least half the field or showed high early speed in the higher-class race.
This 4 bullets should give you a clear winner of the race taking the different factors into place follow closely and refer back to thousands of statistics and hours have come up with these tips for success. Handicapping is all a mater of playing the odds
Check out all the horses that are involved in the race.
The most common mistake among bettors is that they tend to focus on the horse they are betting and ignore all others. It is not wrong to play favorites since you are putting on money on them. What is wrong is that you are not looking at the potential that might be in other horses.
The importance of trainers~
Its important to note the top trainers at the track. Why not look at the factor of who is getting the most bang for their buck. Like anything in the world there are good trainers and bad trainers. Make a mental note on who the good ones are. Also keep in mind that the better jockeys/trainers usually get the good mounts!
When you are at a track that you are familiar with get in the habit of knowing the trainers some will have different qualities that can help you handicap a difficult race. You will see patterns in the trainers and their strategies in winning.
Be aware of the trainers that fall in love with their horses as well. This may sound crazy but some fall in love with their horses and do not want to lose them in the claiming circle. These trainers seldom win and are there for the sport and filling a spot in the gate.
Make sure you keep in mind that no trainer can compensate for a horse that is not fit or way out classed. Look to group the three together for cashing those horseracing tickets.
The inside tips~ Don’t listen to or fall into the trap of believing insider information
Bet your own horses using the information provided here. No amount of inside tips can overcome your due diligence to pick the horse that you feel will win. Every now and then you will get a tip that you might see as valid but this tip may have passed through thousands of hands and become an over-bet. Inside information on first time starters is horrific usually they don’t know any better than we do. Next time someone calls you with a tip say thanks but no thanks
How important is a Jockey/Trainer Change?
Many racing enthusiasts make the mistake of betting a particular jockey. It is true that jockeys may have significantly different winning percentages. However, these people do not realize that the most popular jockeys also get the horses to ride. A jockey cannot make a horse run better than the horse’s natural ability. Conversely, a jockey can ruin a horse’s chance to win by giving the horse a bad ride. It is the case, however, that some jockeys “know” how to ride a particular horse better. By looking at the horse’s past performance matrix, you can see which jockeys typically rode the horse well. I personally put minimal weight on the rider of the horse.
There is always tomorrow
How many times have you had your back against the wall and said things to yourself like there are only 2 races left I don’t want to go home a loser. So you chase your money and let it affect your judgment. There is even a strategy on this site that capitalizes on the thousands that do this at the track and it leave betting opportunity open. Don’t be one of them. You usually end up digging yourself in even more of a hole. This thinking will kill you most of the time. Make sure you stick to the money management system provided for you here. A new meeting with Fresh possibilities is the best way to win. It is important to know when to capitalize on good betting opportunities but its just as important to know when to call it a day. There is always Tomorrow.
- Bet with in your comfort level
One question you should ask yourself is how much you could bet on a race without getting nervous? So if you bet and lost a race you could easily go to the next one with a clear conscience. What is your bankroll and how much are you going to bet that day at the track. This question is answered with the money management system listed already. I listed my email for any questions because of how crucial it is that you follow this. If you are doing great at handicapping you will build your way up to nice profits and betting wagers off those. This is a very important question you because should never bet more than you can afford to. With the information on this site about winning at horseracing the odds are in your favor but you still have to be smart about the wagers you place. What I do is before I go to the track or bet on-line I know exactly what my limit is for the day. I use this based on the previous weeks results or my current bankroll. I never exceed this amount. Its important to stay in your comfort zone and respect the money you bet and it will respect you. If you realize you are outside of your comfort zone scale down your bets until you can regain control.
Here is a horse racing strategy that is very old but still finds relevance today. IF you are going to the track on a moments notice, pop into an OTB with not a lot of time, or a beginner to horse racing this is a perfect start for giving you some quality choices without spending a ton of time handicapping a race. They will throw out some of the horses giving you some quick choice probabilities follow:
1.) No plays on tracks that are slow, heavy, Muddy or otherwise off; a track must be fast or good to permit this system wager
2.) No fillies or mares are to be played against colts, horses, or geldings from April 1 to September 1 of each year.
3.) No Plays on two year olds
4.) No Plays on aged horses (animals over six)
5.) No Chronic quitters are to be played
6.) No horse known to have any physical infirmity, to be unsound in any way is to be played
7.) No horse entered in a claiming race at a valuation under $1500 is to be played in any event (the modern equivalent of this rule remains unknown, but might hover around $5000)
8.) No horse is to be accepted as a play under this system when definitely going up in class, in comparison with earlier races, in point of the class of opposition he is entered against.
9.) No horse otherwise qualifying as a play can be accepted if he is conspicuously overweighted.
10.) No sprinters are to be played in route races
11.) No route-type horses are to be played in sprints
These rules are easy to apply and only 8th and 9th require any knowledge or skill in handicapping.
Track Biases can make or break a horse ~ if there was one big change in horse racing throughout the years Steve Davidowitz in Betting Thoroughbreds stands out on his words on track bias. He talked about how important it is to note track bias. Some tracks the inside is like a paved highway and some the outside favors. It varies from track to track and bad weather can affect it as well. You can have a horse that you feel will dominate the race but if he is a speedster on a dead rail he will lose.
1.) Watch the turns. Are the horses eating up ground on the outside, or is the rail the only place to be?
2.) Watch the break from the gate. Are particular post positions sluggish during the early going, even when early speed horses are present.
3.) In route races around two turns, watch the run to the clubhouse turn. Do horses exiting the outside posts settle into position comfortably, or are they laboring noticeably?
4.) Watch the top jockeys. Do the best boys continually direct their mounts to one part of the track? Handicappers are advised that most jockeys remain insensitive to biases themselves, but that every track’s colony contain one or two who know where to be after two or three turns of the course.
Don’t let this top elude you biases are present at every track some more than others take not of them and use them to your advantage.
A Favorites Day~ Here is a quick handicap for a day when favorites are winning. This was developed by a handicapper who in on summer was determined to win some money at the track and maybe not break the bank but to win some money and cash some tickets. Follow these simple guidelines on any track
First, favorite must meet two standards of consistency (a) have won at least one race in six. (b) have been in-the-money in at least half its races this year, with at least three finishes in-the money.
Second, The favorite must show enough recent exercise in workouts
Third, the favorite must meet a standard for recent good form. One of the last tow races must be a “good” race, defined as a finish in-the-money or within a length during the past six weeks.
Fourth the favorite must have no standout disadvantage in a long layoff, stepping up in class, or bled, injured or for some reason did not finish the race last time out.
When is betting to place oppose to win a solid choice?~ sometimes there is a debate with handicappers on do you bet to win or place, if your horse wins then you get a nice payout with proper odds. I know many times you take it to win and the horse finishes second. Then you take it to place and your horse wins. Here are some general guidelines that assures you get the most out of your money:
1.) In fields of seven or more horses, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 7 to 2 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
2.) In a field of six, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 3 to 1 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
3.) In a field of five, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 5 to 2 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
When the Sharp horse is moving up in class~ If a horse is coming off a superior effort in cheaper company, but is catching a horse who has been running in top-caliber races but is at a disadvantage either distance-wise of pace-wise, the cheaper horse could become a prime betting opportunity.
->This is one of my personal favorite plays. When a sharp horsemen jumps his runner far up the ladder, either in a claiming event or up the ladder in allowance ranks, he’s telling the world he thinks the horse is doing so good that he can stand the raise.
->Often times the public will dismiss the runner because of the steep jump and rely on the tried and true form of a horse that has been running, but failing, at a particular level. The price is often right and a runner climbing the class ladder is fit and almost always live.
* The style of running plays a factor here I am a firm believer that the number of challengers determine how tired the front runner get, and not how fast they run. A horse gets tired from trying to pull away from his rivals who are right by his side.
* A sprinter who takes an early comfortable lead then is asked to run slower than he normally does and is not challenged by anyone else for a long time can go all the way.
* The best time to play a sprinter in a route race is when you found one who has shown early speed in sprints.
*Also take notice when a horse has run evenly or who has been able to stay close, then closes ground in sprints. When these horses are entered in a longer race where there is no front speed.
* A closer in a route seldom has much chance when placed in a sprint.
* When all the races in a horses past performance are routes, one must assume that the fast early pace of a sprint will hurt the router too much to recover.
* Closers in routes make the worse possible bets in sprints and should be eliminated in almost all cases.
These Horse Racing Tips are designed to give you the edge that all handicappers strive and spend thousands to obtain. Read over them constantly and be on the lookout to apply the different tips here for massive results and stay true to the Money management system.